Taelac
Officer
Be bold. It makes your enemies hesitate.
Posts: 357
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Post by Taelac on May 22, 2013 9:27:14 GMT -8
At the moment, we have four votes out, each for a different person.
Seastar (1) Setsusa AhoyLindsay (1) Marinated Marinated (1) Leif Aethera (1) AhoyLindsay
If those all stay the same, the remaining three of us all have to vote for the same one of the folks with a vote on them if we want to lynch.
I am not currently willing to vote for Seastar, AhoyLindsay or Leif.
I really only have gut feelings on Marinated, Setsusa and Aethera, none strong and nothing I would normally be willing to vote on, but that's more or less the order of descending twitchiness.
In the interest of trying to support a consensus and to get a little information to work with, I'll vote my twitchiest twitch...
Vote: Marinated
I'm not sure what my afternoon is going to look like, but I'll keep the tab open in case I get another chance to look at the thread.
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Post by Aethera on May 22, 2013 10:25:20 GMT -8
AL, I didn't give you FOI. I said I was leaning innocent. Now you're exaggerating my lean into a stronger FOI, which I'm not a fan of. I do think the miscount can tell me something, whereas Leif said it couldn't really. Hence the lean. This last post of yours has you on my watchlist now. I really feel like you're going out of your way to mischaracterize my posts.
Sets, I'd like to hear more from you. All we've got in terms of your suspicions are watch on Tae and Leif and a joke vote still on Sea, and I don't know if that indicates you plan to vote this round or not.
Right now I'm unwilling to vote Sea or Sets. Tae is bugging me more after my re-read, but that would mean 5 votes on 5 different people, which is not helpful at all. That leaves me with Mari, AL and Leif. Leif has dropped back to Neutral upon re-read...he's just not bugging me anymore now that I'm looking at AL and Tae. With AL, I'm willing to give her time to respond to what I've said. Tae just voted Mari. With my rising twitches about her, that gives me pause on Mari. However, Mari said
and since then hasn't come up with anything else to comment on, really. I expected her to be more vocal, so it feels like maybe she's sitting back to see if things go sour. I expect her to say something after the vote from Tae, so if it were earlier in the Day I'd hold off voting, but we've only got a few hours and for half of them I'll be commuting.
For now, I'll
Vote: Marinated
I'll be back before I leave the office.
And now I need to go read the tutorial on attributing quotes.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 10:52:49 GMT -8
This strikes me as a bit of a switch. You started by saying it was a "strange" response, and that AL would have only known the game was on if he had read the signup thread or gotten a PM. Incidentally, that was false. In your second one, you dropped the PM line of reasoning entirely. It sticks out to me somewhat, as that seemed to be more important to your reasoning, especially as it was your final point before voting. There was no switch. My vote is based on my reaction to AL's post 8 and that hasn't changed. What you are claiming is false is a misrep of what I actually said. And the part about the PM wasn't a line of reasoning at all; it was speculation. AL is certainly capable of subtle plays, but I really think that "miscounting" the number of players to make herself* look the bumbling innocent is kind of a stretch. If AL is the Joker, I would be more inclined to believe that she just assumed we had an even number that that she tried to set up some kind of bluff. *Are you using feminine pronouns on this board? Why are you suggesting it was a bluff then? Or rather, why are you trying to give the impression that I or someone else has suggested it? and since then hasn't come up with anything else to comment on, really. I expected her to be more vocal, so it feels like maybe she's sitting back to see if things go sour. I expect her to say something after the vote from Tae, so if it were earlier in the Day I'd hold off voting, but we've only got a few hours and for half of them I'll be commuting. Or maybe because I was busy elsewhere? Tae seems to be voting me based on Leif's interpretations of my posts. Vote: LeifBut I may switch to Tae or possibly Aethera, something doesn't seem quite right there. I'll try to pin it down.
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Post by Setsusa on May 22, 2013 11:02:23 GMT -8
I won't be voting Sea, and I probably won't be voting toDay.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 11:19:25 GMT -8
I won't be voting Sea, and I probably won't be voting toDay. You'd better unvote then, as you're currently voting her.
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Post by SeastarX on May 22, 2013 11:19:38 GMT -8
Need to catch-up on the thread after food but as a starting point I'm not currently willing to vote for Sets or Al.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 11:41:12 GMT -8
AL is certainly capable of subtle plays, but I really think that "miscounting" the number of players to make herself* look the bumbling innocent is kind of a stretch. If AL is the Joker, I would be more inclined to believe that she just assumed we had an even number that that she tried to set up some kind of bluff. *Are you using feminine pronouns on this board? Why are you suggesting it was a bluff then? Or rather, why are you trying to give the impression that I or someone else has suggested it?Actually, I was wrong about this. It was Aethera who first suggested that AL may have been faking her mistake.
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Leif
Senior Chatterbox
Posts: 600
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Post by Leif on May 22, 2013 12:00:12 GMT -8
This strikes me as a bit of a switch. You started by saying it was a "strange" response, and that AL would have only known the game was on if he had read the signup thread or gotten a PM. Incidentally, that was false. In your second one, you dropped the PM line of reasoning entirely. It sticks out to me somewhat, as that seemed to be more important to your reasoning, especially as it was your final point before voting. There was no switch. My vote is based on my reaction to AL's post 8 and that hasn't changed. What you are claiming is false is a misrep of what I actually said. Here's your quote: "and as actually looking was the only way you could have known the game was on, apart from receiving a role pm" Please explain the misrepresentation. And the part about the PM wasn't a line of reasoning at all; it was speculation. Other than saying it "Seems strange" that was pretty much all that was offered. It was later dropped after I mentioned it. What bothers me on the whole thing is that the reasoning seems so contrived. In that there wasn't much in the way of reasoning provided. I don't understand the confusion of how someone could think there were 6 players when there were 6 clear signups and one ambiguous.
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Post by Setsusa on May 22, 2013 12:36:52 GMT -8
unvote gonna hope that works out with phone posting action
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Leif
Senior Chatterbox
Posts: 600
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Post by Leif on May 22, 2013 12:39:51 GMT -8
As we're getting closer to the deadline, I realized I'll most probably pass it sitting in rush hour traffic. There's a slight chance I make it home by then, but it's not consistent enough to be on it. I'll basically be out of pocket for the last hour, so anyone with questions, I'd appreciate them sooner rather than later. To respond to Tae saying I don't seem quite the same this early game, it does hinge on the count for me. I've been pretty consistent in favoring a lynch, and with the shortness of the game, it behooves us to be a little less dilatory. My impressions after day 1: Aethera - it's been so long since I've played with her, I don't remember tendencies well. I do sort of see where AL is going with hedging, but on the whole, nothing stick out. Neutral here. Taelac - It's pure gut, but I'm sorta leaning innocent on Tae. Admittedly, I don't have a good reason, she just reads like Tae to me. Leif - Obviously innocent. And dashing. AhoyLindsay - Neutral. I think rogues can make slapdash mistakes as easily as townies. The one thing niggling me a little was the "would you really have been willing to lynch me for it?" post. Something about that caught my eye. I'm not sure why. There's maybe a slight bit of 'can I get away with this sort of thing?' to it. Setsusa - Not very active. I know his reasons are often sparse, but it's still a little frustrating. The line that gave me pause here was "I don't think Mari would joke join a joke bandwagon to start the game as a rogue, well I doubt very many people would." There's a slight implication of innocence there. I also don't like the pass as much, as we know Marinated plays where some early random votes are expected. The "I think the AL miscount is a meh discussion." comment was also pretty shallow, as I think it's more important what the discussion says about Marinated, or me. You know, I was going to lean innocent, since it struck me as fairly typical, but taking a second look, I'm less sure. Watch. Marinated - Obviously find suspicious, as I'm currently voting there. See previous reasons. SeastarX - Neutral, though I wonder about a need to catch up on so short a thread.
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Post by SeastarX on May 22, 2013 12:51:44 GMT -8
SeastarX - Neutral, though I wonder about a need to catch up on so short a thread. Only in the sense of reading the posts since I last posted. Which I'm gonna go do and all now I've eaten dinner.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 13:03:39 GMT -8
This strikes me as a bit of a switch. You started by saying it was a "strange" response, and that AL would have only known the game was on if he had read the signup thread or gotten a PM. Incidentally, that was false. In your second one, you dropped the PM line of reasoning entirely. It sticks out to me somewhat, as that seemed to be more important to your reasoning, especially as it was your final point before voting. I'm not entirely sure how someone seeing 6 players signed up and an ambiguous post (as pointed out in your first post about it) "doesn't make sense" to think there are 6 players. There was no switch. My vote is based on my reaction to AL's post 8 and that hasn't changed. What you are claiming is false is a misrep of what I actually said. Here's your quote: "and as actually looking was the only way you could have known the game was on, apart from receiving a role pm" Please explain the misrepresentation.The actual quote was: "It seems strange that you didn't look to see the final play-list, or read the latest posts in the signup thread, when you came to see if the game had started, and as actually looking was the only way you could have known the game was on, apart from receiving a role pm, it makes me wonder if you did in fact receive one." The part I bolded above is the misrep of what I said here. And the part about the PM wasn't a line of reasoning at all; it was speculation. Other than saying it "Seems strange" that was pretty much all that was offered. It was later dropped after I mentioned it.
What bothers me on the whole thing is that the reasoning seems so contrived. In that there wasn't much in the way of reasoning provided. I don't understand the confusion of how someone could think there were 6 players when there were 6 clear signups and one ambiguous. Yes, the "seems strange" was all I offered! Why would you expect me to repeat a mere speculation? I jumped from a completely random vote on Seastar to a vote on someone who made what seemed to me to be an odd excuse. I would have expected her to just say she miscounted but she didn't and that raised an eyebrow. Why are you making such a mountain out of a molehill out of it? As to your last sentence there weren't six clear signups - go back and look at what I said in post 11.
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Leif
Senior Chatterbox
Posts: 600
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Post by Leif on May 22, 2013 13:13:12 GMT -8
There were. You can tell, as there are 7 players, and just before she rolled her 7 sided die, Furare had to ask if you were playing. Prior to the clarification, there were 6 clearly signed up.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 13:20:43 GMT -8
Seastar signed up after me. If AL had seen that she would have known there were possibly seven there.
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Leif
Senior Chatterbox
Posts: 600
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Post by Leif on May 22, 2013 13:22:58 GMT -8
The part I bolded above is the misrep of what I said here. That's not an explanation. What I said: would have only known the game was on if he had read the signup thread or gotten a PM What you said: and as actually looking was the only way you could have known the game was on, apart from receiving a role pm And that "misrep" is almost a direct quote. Clearly, I don't think this is a mountain out of a molehill issue, or I wouldn't be making an issue of it.
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Taelac
Officer
Be bold. It makes your enemies hesitate.
Posts: 357
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Post by Taelac on May 22, 2013 13:28:00 GMT -8
I think I see the miscommunication here..."actually looking" doesn't refer to reading the signup thread, it refers to "when you came to see if the game had started."
I initially read it the same way Leif appears to have read it, and as that was part of my twitchiness on Marinated, that actually makes Sets my highest twitch.
Unvote: Marinated
Voting Sets doesn't seem like it'll be a lot of help, though. I will almost certainly be in the middle of dinner at the deadline, but I can keep half an eye on the thread for the next 15-20 minutes. I'm willing to vote Sets or Aethera, at the moment.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 13:42:21 GMT -8
I'm more interested at the moment in Aethera's suggestion that AL might have been faking her mistake, which was taken up and given more colour by Tae. I can't see any motive, either innocent or rogue, for AL to do that so I'm wondering why Aethera brought it up in the first place.
After a reread I'm moving my vote to Aethera. I'll be around up till deadline.
Vote: Aethera
I'll be around up till deadline.
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Leif
Senior Chatterbox
Posts: 600
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Post by Leif on May 22, 2013 13:44:28 GMT -8
I think I see the miscommunication here..."actually looking" doesn't refer to reading the signup thread, it refers to "when you came to see if the game had started." I guess I can see that side of it. Not how I read it, but it at least accounts somewhat for the lack of explanation. Unvote: Marinated
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Taelac
Officer
Be bold. It makes your enemies hesitate.
Posts: 357
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Post by Taelac on May 22, 2013 13:56:46 GMT -8
I have to run. This is entirely based on a minor twitch that I can't really define to even my own satisfaction, and placed only to give an opportunity for information gathering.
Vote: Aethera
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Post by Setsusa on May 22, 2013 14:09:06 GMT -8
I would vote Taelac toDay, but I'd rather a no lynch and won't be voting Aethera.
I'm not a huge fan of voting Taelac either, but an "I have to go, here's a vote let's gather information" post when there's very little information to be gathered and which is set up to give Tae to point back to if something goes awry near deadline or Aethera comes up innocent does not sit well with me at the moment.
Leif, I don't think squabbling over semantics or misinterpretation, or misrepresentation of words as a cause of it to be very revealing to your or Mari's status, or anyone's who is in this game. I don't think either of you would refrain from having a discussion such as this as an innocent, or as a rogue, nor do I think you'd push it along as either in this game context. Given further information later when it gets looked over it might yield something, but alone right now to me it doesn't mean a great deal.
Most of my posts have come on a phone and therefore are super short. Apologies for that, but I had intended to have a slow start to this game anyway, that might carry into the next Day but should rampantly pick up when we near the weekend, presuming I'm alive after a Day or two.
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Post by Aethera on May 22, 2013 14:37:39 GMT -8
Talk about misrepresentation. I said while it was possible, I did NOT think she had faked her mistake. I said it would be a nonsensical move. The reason to do it I also referenced: we'd assume a rogue would know how many players there were so the mistake would make her look innocent. Mari, I'm definitely not moving my vote now.
My FOS: Obviously Mari, plus Tae for a very lazy vote. An information vote in a game this small seems ridiculous to me.
I'm sort of here, but packing. I'll be in the car for the 4 hours after the deadline, of course, so if I'm still alive, I'll see what else there is to see.
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Post by SeastarX on May 22, 2013 14:38:57 GMT -8
Gonna split this up so it can be posted as I'm going along. Thoughts in general: Al - pretty much as they were in my earlier post. I'm not convinced by the 'hedging' argument though; it could be levelled just as easily at several posts not just Tae's and Aethera's. Aethera - something that I found a bit weird on reading through her newer posts initially was her going from waiting to hear from Sets to leaning innocent on him after his two posts where he listed everyone as sus/neutral/innocent with no explanation and then the short clarifications on Al, Marinated and herself (saying all three are innocent). Musing on it a little more, I can actually see a logic in there as Sets essentially placed three people into a neutral-innocent bracket which would narrow his options as a rogue considerably. So on reflection I can see how that might work, but the fact Aethera didn't say why she was leaning innocent on Sets bugs me a little. Sets - would be quite bold to put three people straight onto an innocent footing if a rogue. It's possible but would seem unwise. Then again, it's Sets so who really knows
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Post by Aethera on May 22, 2013 14:43:03 GMT -8
I'm leaning innocent on Sets because he feels like innocent, to-the-point Sets to me.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 14:51:44 GMT -8
Talk about misrepresentation. I said while it was possible, I did NOT think she had faked her mistake. I said it would be a nonsensical move. The reason to do it I also referenced: we'd assume a rogue would know how many players there were so the mistake would make her look innocent. Mari, I'm definitely not moving my vote now. So why even raise the suggestion that the count might have been faked? Why would a rogue be thought any more likely than an innocent to know how many players there were? It looked like you were trying to spread a little suspicion while disassociating yourself from the thought.
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Post by SeastarX on May 22, 2013 15:18:03 GMT -8
Tae - I read through quickly to find any previous mention of Aethera before the vote and there's nothing apart from the 'twitchiness' mentioned in the initial vote post. In fact, there's not really any suspicion of anyone apart from those twitches. The timing of the unvote is interesting though in that I'm wondering if a rogue Tae would gain any benefit from that particular post and the unvote at that point when it would've been just as easy to let it go and not bother. Admittedly, she may have thought there was a possibility to try for a lynch of Aethera instead but why bother, with a much weaker (non) argument against her (Aethera) and especially as it seems to have been the catalyst for Leif unvoting Marinated as well.
At this point I may as well mention I'm not intending to vote at present.
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Post by Aethera on May 22, 2013 15:18:28 GMT -8
I was trying to figure out why the heck someone (you) would be voting for her, and that was the best I could do - an idea I had to dismiss as unlikely. And if I were the rogue the first thing I would do is the day-by-day math in a tiny game like this. Which is exactly what I said in the first post, but you keep asking me. You're not reading.
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Post by Marinated on May 22, 2013 15:29:53 GMT -8
If it wasn't clear to you why I was voting her you could have asked. You didn't have to make up reasons.
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Furare
Game Moderator
ROMS Encyclopaedia
Posts: 502
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Post by Furare on May 22, 2013 15:36:15 GMT -8
So I'm making that:
Aethera: 3 (AhoyLindsay, Taelac, Marinated) Marinated: 1 (Aethera)
Total: 4
No Vote: 3 (Leif, Setsusa, SeastarX)
Which is a no lynch. (4 people voted but the rules state they all have to vote for the same person to secure it.)
You can post freely but not vote. I need a PM regarding a ban choice by 4:30am PDT on 23rd May. Other than that, y'all have a nice night.
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Post by SeastarX on May 22, 2013 16:22:02 GMT -8
Will post this now as well. Bit later than intended but a certain moderator has been distracting me by sending me photos of cute guys over Skype most of the evening ;D
Leif - I can't pinpoint it but he's the one currently giving me the most niggling feelings though I couldn't really say why. His actual posts seem reasonable as a whole and I agree with a fair bit of them but at the moment I just can't quite shake the feeling off. His posts have also been almost entirely centered on Marinated with a couple of exceptions which feels a little unusual.
Marinated - already covered the earlier posts. The vote on Aethera is a stretch given it's not what was said. Again, I'm also interested in the timing of the vote. Having been going after Al for a goodly chunk of the Day and voting there, when she unvotes Leif she picks Aethera instead of Al to move the vote to. Apart from finding it curious that she ended up voting the same way the person she's been after all Day did, I'm also left pondering if the move to Aeth was made because others (I remember at least Tae and myself without looking) had expressed some level of suspicion on her and Marinated was hoping to push a lynch in that direction.
Anyway, bedtime.
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Taelac
Officer
Be bold. It makes your enemies hesitate.
Posts: 357
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Post by Taelac on May 22, 2013 16:35:52 GMT -8
An information vote in a game this small seems ridiculous to me. Why? It seems to me like there is more information to be gained by any given lynch in a small game where most players have made at least a small mention of the others than in a large game where people haven't even had a chance to look at everyone. For instance, had you flipped innocent, it would raise my suspicion of Marinated and whoever cast the hammer vote on you. Marinated because of the possibility that she moved her vote to you based on the likelihood of others' willingness to vote, and the hammer vote because of the possibility that the Joker risked a bold move in order to take out an innocent.
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